{"id":138586,"date":"2023-12-18T10:27:27","date_gmt":"2023-12-18T15:27:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ucf.edu\/news\/?p=138586"},"modified":"2023-12-18T12:14:47","modified_gmt":"2023-12-18T17:14:47","slug":"twas-the-florida-forecast-before-christmas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ucf.edu\/news\/twas-the-florida-forecast-before-christmas\/","title":{"rendered":"\u2019Twas the Florida Forecast Before Christmas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u2019Twas the forecast before Christmas, when all through the state<\/p>\n<p>People were still in deep shock from their homeowners&#8217; rates.<\/p>\n<p>Not as many homebuyers were stirring, not even a mouse;<\/p>\n<p>Four hundred grand just to buy a gingerbread house?!<\/p>\n<p>Mortgage applicants filled out their paperwork with fear,<\/p>\n<p>The 30-year fixed rate was three percent just last year!<\/p>\n<p>High prices and insurance premiums made monthly payments grow,<\/p>\n<p>As did Florida transplants seeking taxes so low.<\/p>\n<p>I in my bed with a tear-stained Terrible Towel,<\/p>\n<p>In my head no sugar-plum visions, just old Jerome Powell.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation is slowing, but not at a brisk pace.<\/p>\n<p>The Fed is the tortoise in a price stability race.<\/p>\n<p>Then in front of my house, I heard a loud clatter.<\/p>\n<p>Sleep interrupted again, at least it wasn&#8217;t my bladder.<\/p>\n<p>I peeked out the window hoping to see Santa \u2014 no luck,<\/p>\n<p>No sleigh, not one reindeer, just an Amazon truck.<\/p>\n<p>The labor market shortage is taking its toll,<\/p>\n<p>I hear there&#8217;s now self-checkout aisles at the North Pole.<\/p>\n<p>Not enough workers have caused wages to rise,<\/p>\n<p>Must be good for employees you\u2019d be wrong to surmise.<\/p>\n<p>Yes, paychecks the past two years are increasingly large,<\/p>\n<p>But for ends to meet, households need to make a credit card charge.<\/p>\n<p>One-point-one trillion-plus in credit card debt is dampening holiday cheer,<\/p>\n<p>The federal government to consumers: &#8220;Please hold my beer.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Trillions in deficit spending without any debating,<\/p>\n<p>Have led two agencies to cut the U.S. credit rating.<\/p>\n<p>The U.S. economy is now starting to slow,<\/p>\n<p>Inflation-battered, debt-ridden consumers are forced to forgo.<\/p>\n<p>In Florida the economy isn&#8217;t immune,<\/p>\n<p>But during this economic slowdown we&#8217;ll hum a new tune.<\/p>\n<p>The past two recessions wreaked havoc and pain,<\/p>\n<p>No broken bones this go &#8217;round, just more of a sprain.<\/p>\n<p>Most of our ailments are because we are growing.<\/p>\n<p>Into our state a river of people keeps flowing.<\/p>\n<p>And to the NCAA, Santa, bring lots of coal,<\/p>\n<p>Naughty isn\u2019t the word for what was done to the &#8216;Noles.<\/p>\n<p>Our beloved Knights are now in the Big Twelve,<\/p>\n<p>Albeit with an athletic budget no bigger than elves.<\/p>\n<p>Over time we can hope that budget will grow.<\/p>\n<p>In the meantime, it\u2019s Gasparilla \u2014 that&#8217;s eight bowl games in a row!<\/p>\n<p>So, here&#8217;s to the New Year and hope for the best,<\/p>\n<p>Health and happiness from Destin down to Key West.<\/p>\n<p><em>You can read Snaith\u2019s full Florida economic forecast at <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/business.ucf.edu\/centers-institutes\/institute-economic-forecasting\/\"><em>iec.uec.edu<\/em><\/a><em>. <\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Sean Snaith, the director of UCF\u2019s Institute for Economic Forecasting, shares his take on the highs and lows of our economy in an aptly themed Christmas poem.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":138587,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"lazy_load_responsive_images_disabled":false,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":"","_wp_rev_ctl_limit":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[7309,1486,4194],"tu_author":[],"class_list":["post-138586","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-business","tag-college-of-business","tag-economic-forecast","tag-sean-snaith"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>\u2019Twas the Florida Forecast Before Christmas | University of Central Florida News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Sean Snaith, the director of UCF\u2019s Institute for Economic Forecasting, shares his take on the highs and lows of 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